my footnotes
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my footnotes
Just notes on how I think and what I do.
theory
April 12, 2026
When effectuation meets game theory
I started with a simple question: what happens if you combine effectuation with game theory? This is my attempt to answer it.
theory
April 9, 2026
Topic-thinking versus terrain-thinking
Topic-thinking will compel you to look into the mechanics of how to get from A to B. Terrain-thinking asks whether the topic even survives contact with the actual structure around it.
intel artifacts
April 2, 2026
The Telco terrain map
Six interlocking constraints that keep telco operators frozen, mapped 72 hours after first encountering the industry.
intel artifacts
April 1, 2026
Where AI Stops
Where AI products work, where they hit a wall, and what that means for how you lead.
LLMs
March 27, 2026
How I turned the 2x2 matrix into a Claude skill
A 2x2 matrix is as good as the axes you choose. I built a skill that forces Claude to reject the obvious pair, generate alternatives, and produce 2 matrices.
frameworks
March 26, 2026
The Pyramid Principle: starting with the answer
A practical guide to the Pyramid Principle: how to start with the answer, structure supporting arguments, and make analysis easier to act on.
frameworks
March 25, 2026
Decision matrix with weighted criteria
A practical guide to the decision matrix: how to compare options, weight criteria, and make clearer choices when multiple tradeoffs matter.
frameworks
March 24, 2026
System mapping: A affects B, B affects C, C affects A
When problems keep coming back, the issue is usually systemic. System mapping helps you see feedback loops, delays, and where to intervene.
frameworks
March 23, 2026
SWOT analysis: done properly
Most SWOTs are useless because they stay at the level of labeled lists. This guide shows you how to use SWOT to surface real strategic choices.
frameworks
March 22, 2026
Stakeholder mapping: the power-alignment matrix
A practical guide to stakeholder mapping: how to identify power, assess alignment, and understand who can accelerate, block, or quietly derail a decision.
frameworks
March 21, 2026
Scenario planning: Driving forces & uncertainties
Learn how scenario planning works: identify critical uncertainties, build plausible futures, and find robust moves that hold across different scenarios.
frameworks
March 20, 2026
Second-order effects or the hidden consequences
Learn how to use second-order effects to follow causal chains, weigh likely consequences, and identify convergence points that change decisions.
frameworks
March 19, 2026
How to run a pre-mortem
The decision is made, everyone’s aligned, execution is about to start. This is the moment to ask: assume it failed. What are the reasons?
frameworks
March 18, 2026
SCR: Situation, Complication, Resolution
How to structure any executive briefing, strategic problem, or high-stakes decision into three parts: where we are, what’s wrong, and what to do about it.
frameworks
March 17, 2026
Understanding hypothesis-driven thinking
A practical guide to hypothesis-driven thinking: how to turn ambiguity into testable assumptions and move faster with better judgment.
frameworks
March 16, 2026
The steps to generating an issue tree
How to take a complex problem no one can diagnose and break it into a structured investigation. Map possible explanations & choose where to look first.
frameworks
March 15, 2026
The principles to building a 2x2 matrix
A practical guide to the 2x2 matrix: how to reduce complex decisions to two key dimensions, compare options clearly, and see tradeoffs fast.